854
AGARWAL AND MCDOUGAL
Ithaca, NY) using standard procedures recommended by the
manufacturer. Graft flow monitoring was performed in dupli-
cate by a single operator (G.M.) over a 1-month period; the
average of two readings was used. Systolic blood pressure
was measured by an oscillometric cuff method using the
dialysis machine’s monitor immediately after each measure-
ment.
procedures with Statistica for Windows, Release 4.5 (Stat-
Soft Inc, Tulsa, OK). All P are two-sided and considered
significant at the 0.05 level. Mean Ϯ SD are reported
throughout the text, except when otherwise stated.
RESULTS
Average age of the subjects was 60 Ϯ 15
years, and there were 35 men (52%), 51 blacks
(76%), and 14 whites (21%). Causes of end-
stage renal disease were diabetes mellitus in 36
patients (54%), hypertension in 25 patients (37%),
and other causes in the remaining 9%.
Outcomes
Graft failure was defined as a composite outcome of graft
stenosis requiring angioplasty or surgical revision or clotting
of the graft. At the time of the study, no specific intervention
protocol was in place to maintain patency of dialysis grafts.
Patients had fistulograms performed based on the decisions
of physicians caring for these patients. Reasons included
difficult graft cannulation, excessive bleeding, or elevated
venous pressures.
A left forearm PTFE graft was present in 48
patients, and a right forearm graft, 19 patients.
The PTFE graft was in a straight configuration in
2 patients and a loop configuration in the rest.
Grafts were placed 42 Ϯ 26 months before the
study. Over the lives of the grafts, 2.97 Ϯ 4.27
clots (maximum, 29 clots; median, 2 clots) were
seen, yielding a rate of 0.99 Ϯ 1.16 clots/y
(maximum rate, 6 clots/y; median rate, 0.61
clots/y). In the previous 12 months, 0.97 Ϯ 1.15
clots were recorded (maximum, 4 clots; median,
1 clot). The number of procedures performed on
the graft over the life of the graft was 4.32 Ϯ
4.81 procedures (maximum, 27 procedures; me-
dian, 3 procedures), yielding a rate of 1.33 Ϯ
1.44 procedures/y (maximum, 6 procedures/y;
median, 0.94 procedures/y). In the previous 12
months, 1.35 Ϯ 1.44 graft procedures were re-
corded (maximum, 5 procedures; median, 1 pro-
cedure). All graft flow measurements and physi-
cal examinations were performed in January
2000. Average graft flow was 892 Ϯ 481 mL/
min.
Analysis
One-way analysis of variance was used to explore the
relationship between physical examination and graft flows
in a cross-sectional analysis. Based on the three components
of the physical examination, thrill, bruit, and pulsation, that
provided clinically independent information, a simple score
was created (Table 1).
One-way analysis of variance was used to explore the
relationship between this composite score and graft flow
measurements.
A multivariate model to predict graft flows was created
using multivariate regression. Those variables found to be
significant predictors of graft flow in a univariate analysis
were analyzed by forward stepwise multiple regression.
Tolerance was set at 1%. Standardized partial correlations,
which are estimates of the independent contribution of the
variable and adjusted coefficient of determination, an esti-
mate of goodness of fit, and the SD of residuals also were
calculated for the model.17
Kaplan-Meier survival curves were constructed from the
time of the end of graft flow monitoring to the time to
composite event, defined previously using the composite
graft score as a grouping variable.
All statistical analyses were performed using standard
On physical examination, there was no thrill
palpable in nine patients. In these patients, flow
averaged 499 Ϯ 274 mL/min. In those patients
(n ϭ 35) who had a thrill in the axilla, flow rate
averaged 1,057 Ϯ 455 mL/min, whereas those
patients who had a thrill palpable distal to the
midarm had a flow rate of 842 Ϯ 460 mL/min
(n ϭ 23; Fig 1). Patients who had a discontinu-
ous bruit had an average graft flow of 571 Ϯ 320
mL/min, whereas those who had a continuous
bruit had a graft flow of 954 Ϯ 472 mL/min (P ϭ
0.030). Similarly, patients without pulsatile grafts
had an average graft flow of 931 Ϯ 471 mL/min
(n ϭ 63), whereas those with pulsatile grafts had
an average graft flow of 555 Ϯ 372 mL/min (n ϭ
4; P ϭ 0.122).
Table 1. Scoring System of Graft
Physical Examination
Score
0
1
2
Thrill
Absent
Distal to the
midarm
In the axilla
(above
midarm)
Bruit
Pulsation
Discontinuous Continuous
Present Absent
NOTE. Graft function is graded on an ordinal scale in
which a sum of scores of thrill, bruit, and pulsation provides
a composite score of 0 through 4; a higher score repre-
sents better graft function by physical examination.