McGowan et al.
Article
erly admissions for pneumonia and COAD was also consistent
with studies by Schwartz43 and Moolgavkar.44 However, in con-
trast with Pope,33 no statistically significant association was found
in Christchurch between paediatric asthma admissions and PM10.
In addition, while Schwartz28 reported a 1-1.5% increase in ad-
missions for ischaemic heart disease among the elderly, the asso-
ciation in Christchurch did not achieve statistical significance.
The absence of a statistically significant relationship between ei-
ther elderly admissions for ischaemic heart disease or paediatric
hospitalisations for asthma and PM10 may be due to an inadequate
sample size in this study. Although this study had sufficient sta-
tistical power to find an association between total cardiac or res-
piratory admissions and PM10, the number of admissions may
have been too small to find any significant associations between
individual conditions for different age groups and PM10. Biologi-
cal plausibility and the findings from previous research suggests
that associations may actually exist between admissions for some
of these conditions (e.g. dysrhythmia) and particulate pollution.6
A major issue in evaluating the association between particulate
pollution and morbidity is the relative impact of measurement
error in the assessment of exposure and outcome variables. The
relatively homogenous exposure of Christchurch residents to pol-
lution and the relatively minor contribution to pollution from non-
particulate matter reduces the potential for the study to misclassify
exposure.20 The use of 24-hour averages increases the likelihood
that a true catchment-wide measurement of exposure was obtained
but a major issue remains about whether outdoor measurements
can function as a proxy for personal exposure given that people
spend considerable amount of time indoors where they may be
exposed to particulate matter from cigarette or cooking smoke.
Although small diameter particulate matter can penetrate dwell-
ings and high correlations between environmental recordings and
personal exposures to PM10 have been recorded29,45,46 this has yet
to be systematically examined, especially in the New Zealand
setting.
determine the nature and extent of the relationships between
particulate matter and gaseous pollutants and to elucidate the toxi-
cological effects of their different combinations.
In conclusion, this study adds to the accumulating evidence
that particulate air pollution causes significant morbidity and it
augments other local research which has found that exposure to
particulate pollution is associated with significant mortality16 and
morbidity17 in Christchurch. A reduction in ambient particulate
pollution levels can therefore be expected to generate significant
public health benefits.
Acknowledgements
The following support for this study is gratefully acknowledged.
Major funding was provided by a grant from the Health Research
Council of New Zealand.Assistance with obtaining data was pro-
vided by the Canterbury Regional Council. A grant-in-aid was
received from Crown Public Health Limited.
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This study addressed the relationship between particulate lev-
els and hospital admissions and did not consider the role of other
pollutants. A notable omission was any data on ozone exposure,
despite overseas research that has found a clear association be-
tween ozone levels and admission rates for respiratory ill-
nesses.33,43 However, it should be noted that the association has
principally been found in conjunction with summertime, photo-
chemical smog rather than particulate pollution.42,43 Studies that
have concurrently examined the effect of particulate and ozone
levels have typically reported that the effect of each is separate.6
Christchurch is considered unlikely to experience significant
effects from ozone, especially during the winter when particulate
levels are highest.18 Although SO2 and NO2 have been shown to
be related to respiratory admissions, the relationship is neither as
consistent, nor as strong, as that with particulate levels, suggest-
ing that these oxides may be exerting an effect mainly through
confounding with airborne particulate.6,33 By contrast, CO and
PM10 may each exert an independent and additive effect upon
cardiac admissions.28 There is a need for further research to
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2002 VOL. 26 NO. 1