214
C. S. Tapiero, A. Birati
savers'' according to their contribution, the value of these points however is
recalculated each year based on the aggregate performance of the fund. In the
US, TIAA and CREF retirement funds allow savers to select part of their re-
tirement income in terms of several investment vehicles, each exhibiting dif-
ferent risk pro®les. Such decisions may be binding over certain periods of
time. The current trend in the US is to allow greater ¯exibility in funds in-
vestments by diverting some pre-speci®ed proportion of the fund to the stock
market. In Israel, as well as in many other countries, the insu½ciency of ®xed
income retirement plans guaranteed by the government are increasingly com-
pensated by the creation of complementary pension savings that bene®t of tax
advantages ꢀsuch as tax de¨eral schemes and outright tax deductions for parts
of the investment). Although these schemes are increasingly popular and
varied, they share a common trend of ``disintermediation'' of pension savings,
reducing both the responsibility and the social role of governments in the
guarantee of pensions and increased ``individuation'' of pension schemes ±
much more tuned to individual possibilities and needs. These trends have a
major impact on investment policies of pension funds, on their portfolio and
of course express a far more liberal view of social policy.
There are many reasons for governments' disassociation of social and re-
tirement pension funds and their active support to pension individuation.
Among the many possible reasons, early retirement, a structural growth in
unemployment, increased life expectancy, the in¯ow of more women in the
labor market, a trend towards lower interest rates and so on combine to in-
crease the cost of national pension funds insurance and their dwindling eco-
nomicopportunities. The rcedo for smaller government, privatization and
disengagement by governments, the growth of global ®nancial markets are
also reducing the needs for de®cit ®nancing through guaranteed payments to
pension funds which have been in the past an important source of current
budget de®cit ®nancing. This paper provides a systematic assessment of some
of these issues by considering a simple deterministic dynamic model. The re-
sults obtained provide the conditions for savings. Due to the model's simplic-
ity, further research is required which will consider the uncertain e¨ects of
income and the future on current savings decisions.
2A dynamic model of individual savings and retirement
Assume a saver whose tax bracket is known and given by t > 0. Let Sꢀt be
the current account state of the saver at time t ꢀthis may stand for the number
of point accumulated by the saver, the outstanding amount of money saved
and accumulated over time etc.). Funds are accumulated by individual savers
in three ways: First, through an obligatory payment ꢀusually, paid for by the
employer and determined as a function of the saver's salary), aꢀw; t where
wꢀt is the individual salary at time t. Second, through a voluntary contribu-
tion vꢀt, measured in dollars and contributed by the individual saver. This
contribution, has usually some tax advantages usually regulated by govern-
ments that seek to provide an incentive for retirement saving. For our pur-
pose, we state that the amount contributed at a given time is paid con-
tinuously and is proportional to the salary, or
0 U nꢀt U nÃ
ꢀ1