Comparing algorithms that detect forest res
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Under normal conditions, NDVI exhibits a clear seasonal cycle. It increases gradually
in spring, reaches a peak value in August, and then declines quickly in autumn. Such
a seasonal cycle may shift earlier or later depending on climate.
Following a re event, NDVI has a sharp drop. The method used here is intended
to detect all new re scars in a particular year. In order to do so, two pairs of NDVI
images were employed, one in spring and another in autumn. Note that the years
of the two consecutive periods are diŒerent. For example, to determine the 1995 re
scars as shown here, the spring pair comes from 1995 and 1996 images, while the
autumn pair consists of 1994 and 1995 images. Comparing NDVI images from the
same period of the year, as opposed to comparing spring and autumn images from
the same year, can overcome the problem associated with the annual NDVI cycle.
Comparisons of NDVI for two periods reduce the noise introduced by the inter-
annual variation of NDVI. The spring and autumn periods were chosen to be 21–31
May and 11–20 September, respectively. Contained within the two periods is the
bulk of a re season without snow cover in the region of interest. Snow cover over
forest diminishes the NDVI drastically.
The diŒerence in NDVI was computed pixel by pixel for each pair of the images.
A threshold was then used to identify pixels with scar signature. After some tests, a
relative NDVI change of 9% was found to separate most re scars from the back-
ground. Pixels that showed a relative NDVI drop greater than 9% in both pairs of
images were marked as re scar pixels.
Figure 3 presents a comparison of the results obtained with the CFDA and the
scar detection method in the same two regions as shown earlier. Three colours are
used to denote re pixels detected by the CFDA alone (red), the scar method alone
(green) and by both methods (yellow), in comparison with the blue re boundaries
reported by re agencies. It is evident that the re scars determined from NDVI
agree well with the areas of the polygons. Fire pixels determined by the CFDA (red
and yellow) occupy about 60% of the area inside the blue outlines. The re scars
(green and yellow) derived from NDVI cover about 63% of the total area of the
polygons. About half of the total re pixels are identi ed by both methods. These
overlapped pixels have the highest probability of being true res. On the contrary,
pixels inside the polygons that are not marked by either algorithm are more likely
to be unburned patches. They occupy 19% of the total areas of the polygons, with
1.4% identi ed as water bodies.
Limitations in the detection methods caused a signi cant portion of the burnt
area to be detected by only one method. For the CFDA, cloud cover and insu cient
temporal sampling were dominant factors. For the NDVI scar detection method,
sub-grid burning and burns of little damage (most likely surface res) were hard to
detect. In addition, a change in NDVI may be caused by something other than a
re, such as drought, tree diseases, insects, etc. The most prominent problem in the
NDVI approach is probably associated with cloud contamination, which can reduce
NDVI value considerably. Although great care was exercised to remove cloud
contaminated pixels in generating clear composite data (Cihlar et al. 1997), there is
no assurance that all pixels are cloud-free, in particular for residual clouds and
persistent clouds. These limitations lead to a considerable number of scattered false
re pixels that are evident in gure 3. Therefore, a simple combination of the two
methods may not be ideal in mapping burned area, as both real and false res
accumulate concurrently. As such, a new synergistic method based on hot spot and
NDVI has been developed that takes advantage of the strengths of each method,
while at the same time avoiding their weakness (Fraser et al. 1999).