Usher / PROVISION OF INDIVISIBLE PRIVATE GOODS
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able. First, with a given skill distribution of doctors, the private fringe
necessarily attracts the more skillful doctors, automatically lowering
the quality of medical care in public sector. Second, although the gov-
ernment is relieved of the requirement to pay doctors in the private
fringe, the prospect of employment in the private fringe may drive up
the required payment to doctors in the public sector, lest too many
skilled doctors choose to work in the private fringe instead. Third,
there is a political danger in this method of provision. The possibility
of escape from public provision to a private fringe creates an incentive
among the rich to favor cost cutting in public provision, no matter
what the consequences for the quality of care. This could be a serious
concern if the rich are disproportionately influential in public decision
making. A case can be made for forbidding a private fringe to ensure
that the rich and influential must partake of whatever services they
provide for the peasants.5
QUEUING
Strictly speaking, there is no place for queuing in the models in this
article because queuing takes time, and the models, as developed so
far, are atemporal. Queuing can, nevertheless, be contrasted with ran-
dom allocation in a simple example. Suppose 1,000 people require
heart surgery each year, and there is only capacity for 500 operations.
Inevitably, 500 people each year must do without. Assume for the sake
of the argument that all cases are equally grave so that the medical es-
tablishment does not have the option of directing scarce resources to
the worst or most needy cases. With random allocation, names of 500
out of the 1,000 newcases each year are picked out of a hat, operations
are provided for the lucky people whose names have been chosen, and
the rest are left to their fate. With queuing, everybody in need of heart
surgery is placed on a list that must growlong enough for 500 people
to die each year waiting for heart surgery, so that the 1,000 new cases
each year are balanced by 500 surgeries and 500 deaths. For example,
if the common mortality rate of people in need of heart surgery is 20%
per year, there must in equilibrium be 2,500 people on the list (so that
500 people die each year), and the waiting time must be 3½ years.
(The waiting time is t, where 500 = 1,000e–(.2)t.) If waiting is unpleas-
ant, then the misery of waiting must be counted as a cost of queuing